As news continues to filter out about the nature of assaults on U.S. airbases by Iranian drones, Netanyahu battles with his own military about when the Gaza ground invasion should begin. America draws more troops into the region in anticipation of the potential for a wider war with American troops serving on the front lines of that broadening war.
Biden hints at supporting a ceasefire, but only after Hamas releases all of its hostages. The Russia-China axis is looking for an opportunity to inject itself into the conflict, with Russia and China both calling for an immediate ceasefire and China sending warships into the region to counter the American presence.
The war appears primed to expand beyond the borders of Israel and Gaza beyond the skirmishes, such as the attacks on U.S. bases by Iranian drones or the firefights, rocket attacks and artillery attacks on the Israel-Lebanon border. It appears, to this writer, to be fundamentally about the globalists of the west securing their India-Israel-Europe Trade Corridor versus the globalists of the East sustaining their Central Asia-Turkey-Europe Trade Corridor, with Israel and the Palestinians being the de facto pawns in that global struggle. Here is more in our link report below:
It seems the child-murder, groomer, rapist gang, the rainbow fascists, might not be so welcome by the other death cult these reprobate minds embrace, the Islamo-fascists, who they cheer on every time they “rally” in support of Hamas.
A march supporting the child-murdering, raping death cult of Hamas in London has revealed the rift between the rainbow fascists and the Islamo-fascists marching “side by side.” Rainbow flags flying in support of Hamas are not something Hamas and its debased supporters endorse, as was evidenced by the taking down of the flags and the flag bearers by Muslims dressed in black during the march.
The march happened October 21, 2023, on the streets of London. It revealed the murderous nature of everyone involved, the rainbow fascists pushing a lifestyle that, if society prefers it (as they want seem to want to force society to do so) will lead to the death of humanity, and the Islamists, who embrace a religion that calls on its devotees to murder the unbeliever, especially the Jew, to bring the end of the world and the ushering in of their version of paradise (where 72 virgins are forced to have sex with one devotee who murdered his way to sexual paradise).
From Express UK: “… a video widely shared on social media appears to show uneasiness and lack of unity among some of the factions attending the event.
The clip, filmed in Trafalgar Square where the “March For Palestine” ended, initially shows a Progressive Pride Flag being waved.
Shortly after, the flag representing the LGBTQ+ community can be seen falling to the ground.
As people surrounded the flag bearer, it isn’t clear whether the person waving it was attacked or if someone grabbed the symbol of inclusivity to tear it down.
Then, two men dressed in black and with their face covered can be seen running away from Nelson’s column.
Shortly before the video ends, a skirmish breaks out between the men and another protester, who appears to be holding a sign.”
ED.NOTE: Not all homosexuals are rainbow fascists, and the majority of rainbow fascists are not gay.
What follows is an “estimate of the situation”, concerning what may well become known as the “Guns of October”. This is a strategic assessment of the current situation in the Levant, and what the deeper plan[s] may be. Nothing in this article is based on “classified information” or “anonymous sources”, but sober estimates based on training, experience, intuition and “informed speculation”.
Around the world, October 7th stunned many people. Even after over twenty years of continuous warfare, the scenes of slaughter coming out of Israel were stunning, both in their daring, but even moreso for their brutality and savagery. Inevitably, perhaps, some people have began to promote an idea that the Israeli High Command was operating in full knowledge of what Hamas was going to do, because there was “no way” that the vaunted Israeli intelligence agencies could have missed Hamas’ preparations.
The fact is, people are always people, and people make mistakes – often, those mistakes boggle the imagination with their stupidity. There is no real evidence of anything like an intentional conspiracy on the part of the Israeli High Command’s part happening.
In this case, however, there are parties throughout the world, who have been desperate for a crisis like Yom Kippur 2.0 to restore their flagging efforts. This group has been pushing an endless series of wars since the 1990’s, and while their influence is, indeed great, they are masters of the notion espoused by one-time White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel’s quip, “… you never want a serious crisis to go to waste…”
The people in power, or hanging on to the tailings of power, who espouse such ideas, are known as “neo-cons”…But – what is a “neo-con”?
Foreign Policy Magazine accurately describes neo-cons as “liberal imperialists on steroids”. They are firm believers in the notion of a highly totalitarian vision of the so-called “Pax Americana”, a series of policies that have produced a national debt in excess of an eye-watering $33 trillion, as of 10/18/2023. These beliefs – and the people behind them – also led to the roiling disasters in Israel, Lebanon, Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, and most of the rest of the Middle East.
Another key descriptor of the neo-cons is that they have no political party, beyond that which is most expedient for them at the moment. Zbigniew Brzezinski (1928 – 2017), one-time National Security Advisor to Democrat party President Jimmy Carter, laid out the neo-con strategy and thought in his 1997 book, “The Grand Chessboard”. His criticisms of Republican President George W. Bush’s handling of the post-9/11 wars were not one of actual opposition, but complaining about their mis-handling.
Neo-Con thinking is also at the core of the Russo-Ukrainian War that began in February of 2022. No matter what side of that conflict the Reader may fall on, the fact is that – like Japan attacking Pearl Harbor in 1941 – the West, led by the United States, goaded Russia into its attempt to dismember the Ukrainian state. Why? Because the neo-cons desperately wanted to initiate Cold War 2.0, because Islamic jihadi’s were simply not working as an existential threat to Western society that justified obscenely massive military spending; terrorists are annoying, but they will never seriously threaten the Western social order.
Russia and China, on the other hand…
In early-to-mid 2022, there was a point where the world held its breath, as it seemed that the major powers of the world might actually enter into direct, large-scale combat with each other, something that has not been seen since 1945. While that danger still looms, the important takeaway, is that these situations have sparked increasingly strident calls to revamp western military establishments, to something resembling “the old days”.
But – how does this relate to the “Guns of October”?
In the aftermath of the seeming failure of neo-con ambitions as the “Global War On Terror” sputtered out in the mid-20-teens, despite the flare-up provided by the so-called “Arab Spring”, the neo-con movement became increasingly desperate for something to revive their plans to continue their series of planned wars, the exhaustion and disgust of the people’s of the West – and Russia – over the never-ending series of wars at the dawn of what should have been a “golden century” for humanity.
The clearest example of the desperation of the neo-cons, including their abject hatred of US President Donald Trump, came when Trump rejected their plans to strike three targets in Iran in response to the 2019 downing of an unmanned US drone. Trump canceled the retaliatory attacks when he was informed that the attacks were expected to kill at least 150 Iranians; Trump did not feel that level of retaliation to be a “proportionate” response to shooting down an unmanned drone.
But now, with a reimposition of sanctions against Russia in April of 2021, leading to a near-war with that state, the neo-cons within Washington DC and allies in several European governments have been awaiting a crisis of an appropriate scale to move the world back into the realm of “forever wars”.
Enter October 7th, of 2023.
With increasing calls in the West to end the open and naked barbarity of Hamas – barbarity that organization happily live-streamed, until it realized how bad the optics were – coupled to the deranged bleatings of the Communist mullahs in control of Iran – handed the neo-cons the golden crisis they have desperately needed to galvanize Western governments into continuing the wars: the United States – even under an “anti-Israel” establishment – cannot oppose Israel in assaulting Gaza, nor in hammering the Iranian-back Hezbollah organization in southern Lebanon, especially in the face of Hamas’ barbarity, without suffering catastrophic political consequences. Similarly, the Western European “street” is fed up with their government’s policies of accommodation and appeasement of “refugees” who spare no expense to tell the world how much they hate their “hosts”, who spared little expense to give them shelter and sanctuary.
Caught in the middle, are the Muslim governments of the region, none of whom want anything to do with this war, but who have enough internal problems that they cannot be seen by their populations to be completely abandoning the Palestinians. But, with more and more US Navy warships being deployed to the region at speed, the possibility of an “incident” occurring that “required” a military response against Iran – one that would make the Iraq war look like a training exercise – is an increasingly likely possibility.
Why is this important? Put simply, the United States does not have the manpower to fight the wars the neo-cons want the West to fight. As has been pointed out previously at the Freedomist, two decades of no-victory wars – as well as policies to insult and demean the US military’s primary recruiting pool – have turned a generation of potential recruits firmly against military service…so much so, that there has been a quietly increasing spate of military officers “speaking truth to power”, pointing out that the current world strategic will eventually force the United States to return to conscription, the dreaded “D-word”, that has been anathema to both the political and military spheres alike, for fifty years, since peacetime conscription was ended in the US by President Richard M. Nixon in 1973.
The neo-cons have painted themselves into a corner: They have relentlessly pursued aggressive policies that have burned off most of any good will built up by the United States over the past four decades, in pursuit of a strategy of continual conflict that requires a level of military recruitment that is a pale memory. At the same time, their actions have severely damaged the US economy, because markets not under a regimen of centralized planning respond poorly to toxic cycles of borrowing money, then borrowing more money to simply pay the interest, all while expanding the pool of currency by running the printing presses at high speed.
With much of the potential military recruit-base firmly rejecting staggering enlistment bonuses of over $50,000, there will come a point where the United States will be forced to attempt to revive the Draft for 18-to-30 year-olds…and there has been legislation language already draft, that was repeatedly submitted for some thirteen years.
While the Progmericans (which are no Americans at all) continue to ree-ree over the January 6 protests of an illegal Mass Mailer election that they claim was LITERALLY worse than 9/11, they cheer the storming of the U.S. capitol by “Americans” protesting resistance to the genocidal death cult known as Hamas. The “protestors,” (actual insurrectionists) illegally stormed the Capitol Rotunda and ripped down a pro-Israel sign in front of Representative Randy Weber’s (R-TX) office.
The violent anti-American, anti-God, pro-Jewish-genocide insurrectionists were led by the Orwellian-named group “Jewish Voice for peace,” a self-hating Jewish organization that is aligned with Hamas’ goals of wiping the Jews off the face of “Palestine” to “liberate Palestinians.”
While the Capitol Police have arrested the protestors, no charges have yet to be charged against them, and one doubts there ever will be.
As the demonstration was broken up, authorities announced that “Due to First Amendment activities on Capitol Grounds, all pedestrian entry points to the House Office Buildings [were] restricted to Members and Staff ONLY.”
Outside the House office buildings, a speaker in another group of “ceasefire now” demonstrators lamented the fact that “some people are afraid of our movement” which, again, is advocating for Hamas terrorist interests by calling for a ceasefire to restrict Israel’s ability to take out the Iran-backed terrorists who continue to launch rockets at Israeli civilians.
Rally speaker says, “Some people are afraid of our movement…”
In addition to the protests and demonstrations, some activists apparently defaced the exterior of buildings on Capitol Hill with calls to “Free Palestine.”
In a show of solidarity with Israel, Rep. Brandon Williams showed up to the Cannon Rotunda demonstration with an Israeli flag:
Rep Brandon Williams standing above the anti-Israel protest, standing silently with an Israeli flag above the demonstration in the Cannon House Office Building pic.twitter.com/BjZqODmWHs
A racist referendum failed to win over the Australian people, although nearly 40 percent (overwhelmingly white, upper-middle class, and urban, the same classes that dominate fascist leftism in America and the UK) voted for it. The referendum would create a de facto tribunal of indigenous Australians who, by their race alone, would be qualified to check any law, any regulation the Australian legislature and administration might create or modify.
When the idea was first proposed, of creating a race-based tribunal to have more de facto power to check government than even our Supreme Court does (and not having to even rely on Rule of Law to do so), 60 to 70 percent of Australians supported it. They must not have fully understood the ramifications of the racist referendum, however, for as the campaign wore on and they realized this wasn’t just an “advisory body” but one that would result in real de facto law-changing powers, the mood changed and the leftist fascists lost their opportunity to condition a people to accept their brand of totalitarian authoritarianism based on racial hierarchies (race fascism).
The language itself smacks of race supremacism, referring to the “Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Peoples” as being the First Peoples of Australia. The First Peoples in the subconscious mind becomes the best people, and the crafters of this language know full well the hate they are spreading, the divisions they hope to create between the Aboriginals and everyone else.
The crafters of the Yes position tried to avoid the obvious fact that this was, on its face, an explicitly racist law, but that didn’t fly with the Australian people, who are now being accused of being racist for rejecting a racist law.
Aware that this was No’s strongest argument, Yes tried to rebut it by pointing out that there is only one human race, which means distinctions based on race can’t exist. The distinction, Yes claimed, is one only of ancestry, and refers to “inherent rights Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples hold as the original inhabitants of the Australian continent.”
Lawyers call this sort of argument “trivially true”. Biological race does not exist among humans. We are not genetically distinct enough. Chimpanzees possess biological race (biologists use the term “sub-species”). Humans don’t. However, Aboriginal ancestry in even tiny amounts stands out in a 23andMe test. The Yes claim that the Voice wasn’t conferring rights based on race thus looked like prestidigitation. Descent from the First Peoples of Australia (a real thing) was being used to draw distinctions between groups in the same way that nineteenth century racists drew distinctions based on race (not a real thing).
It also led to a situation where people who voted against a proposed law intended to distinguish between groups of Australians based on ancestry and cultural practice were accused of racism. I’m afraid those who support race-based policies designed to ameliorate “structural disadvantage” or “inequity” – of which the Voice is one – need to understand that to most people, they just look like more racism.
When leftists “defend” their perverse positions based on fear, hate, and fake hope, to the non-indoctrinated, their “best” arguments simply expose their true depravity even more, as has happened here, and hopefully will happen elsewhere in the world, including here in America where perversion is glorified and righteousness is outlawed.
Let us start off by addressing the proverbial elephant in the room.
On October 7th, 2023, the forces of Hamas – the Palestinian terror group with such delusions of legitimacy that they haven’t bothered with elections since attaining power – launched a short, sharp and brutal assault into southern Israel. For the first time since the rise of ISIL in 2011, the world was “treated” to a level of sadistic brutality that beggars the imagination. The acts of savagery – including the live-streamed slaughter, brutalization and kidnapping of mostly under-30 year olds at a literal “peace festival” – stunned the “polite” world as much as the apparent failure of some of the most vaunted intelligence services in the world.
The resulting war, on the fifty-year anniversary of the first “Yom Kippur War”, is now being termed “Israel’s 9/11”.
This article will not go any further into the political situation. Likewise, “sides” are not our purpose, here. This is strictly an examination of Hamas’ military operations, based on published reports and “informed supposition”, from October 7 to October 14, 2023. A much more in-depth examination of the situation will be available to our subscribers towards the end of the month.
OVERVIEW
In the early dawn hours of October 7, Hamas combat units launched a “broad spectrum” attack from its sanctuaries in the Gaza Strip. The assault opened with a massive and concentrated barrage of rocket artillery. The artillery assault was large enough and concentrated enough that it overwhelmed the “Iron Dome” anti-missile system that Israel has relied on for over a decade to defend itself from such attacks.
As the rocket attacks opened, mobile combat groups – some dressed in Israeli Defense Force (IDF) uniforms – infiltrated border checkpoints and massacred or captured the troops within, most of whom seem to have still been asleep. Simultaneously, other units conducted combat breaching operations at several points along the border, using a variety of techniques, ranging from simple RPG-7 rocket, to dedicated breaching charges, to using civilian construction equipment to batter holes in the security fences. Mobil combat groups, mounted on “technicals” and small motorcycles, quickly swarmed through the breaches, and fanned out to assault small town and villages, ultimately capturing and holding these urban areas for up to four days, a circumstance that has not happened since Israel’s War of Independence in 1948.
A map of the Gaza Strip showing key towns and neighbouring countries, 2009. Credit: Wikimedia User: Gringer. CCA/3.0
Perhaps most spectacularly, an airborne element assaulted the aforementioned peace festival using “paragliders” to insert a raiding force into the festival grounds, timed to strike shortly before the arrival a relief convoy mounted in technicals.
In both cases, at the peace festival and in Israeli urban settlements, Hamas forces deliberately massacred civilians, and captured as many as possible, carting them off to Gaza to be explicitly used as hostages and human shields against the expected Israeli counterattack. This has resulted in the largest number of Jewish lives lost in a single weekend since the Holocaust of World War Two.
While some Hamas forces held out for as long as four or five days in places, the bulk of surviving Hamas units had retreated into Gaza within seventy-two hours.
ANALYSIS
Hamas’ attack, on the purely tactical level, stands as a masterclass in operational deception, tactical ingenuity, flexibility and maximizing limited supplies on a shoestring budget.
It was also a complete and abject failure.
Way back in 2022, we discussed the emerging phenomenon of small-scale, targeted, and focused military training that was available to the general public around the world with nothing more than an internet connection. And that remains true – anyone who is at least moderately intelligent and educated can learn a very great deal by searching out real military informational guides via the internet.
The unspoken cautionary warning in the last paragraph is that such information, if not presented in a coherent manner, will most certainly not convey the level of competence necessary to fight and win.
Case in point – Hamas.
While Hamas demonstrated a surprisingly level of competence at the commando/light infantry level of warfare, its forces were absolutely no match for their enemy, once that enemy roused itself, and organized a coordinated counterattack. While Hamas’ leadership seems to have understood this, in a strictly tactical sense, it completely failed to tie tactical acumen to a realistic operational or strategic plan.
There was no possibility that Hamas was going to “win” against Israel in a conventional military sense. Hamas could – and did – certainly bloody Israel’s nose, exposing staggering complacency within the IDF, while also demonstrating the stark reminder that unarmed civilians are nothing but targets in a combat environment. As a result, as of this writing (October 16th 2023), the IDF has eliminated all Hamas forces that remained within Israel after the initial assault…and the IDF is now girding for an all-out assault into the Gaza Strip to put an end to Hamas, once and for all, world opinion be damned.
This also demonstrated the defective strategic thinking of Hamas, as the avowed purpose of taking hostages, to be used as human shields – and joyously live-streaming it via the internet – is something that they allowed themselves to believe would be a viable tool of negotiation with Israel…The problem being, this is not an “intifada” – Hamas’ very success is the agent of their coming destruction, because the State of Israel will now stop at nothing to destroy them.
Put more prosaically, Hamas’ combination of tactical acumen with idiotic and outdated strategic thinking, is effectively the strategy for a “live action” first-person shooter video game, like a combination of “Call of Duty” with “Grand Theft Auto”, where the player gets more rewards for being more ruthless and savage, a view that is being reinforced daily, with the gleeful cheering on of troops in combat zones operating drone that drop grenades on enemy forces…just like in a video game – and if a war crime is committed in the process, that is worth double-XP.
Video games, however, are not real life. They are nothing more than a pale and warped reflection of reality – and basing your military plans on visions of video game victory is not simply a poor strategy, it is a strategy of suicide.
Yours.
Write that on your hand, if you need to.
For a more detailed look at this conflict, subscribe to the FREEDOMIST today for exclusive content
The Freedomist — Keeping Watch, So You Don’t Have To
Fifty years and one to the day of the launching of the Yom Kippur War in 1973 (October 6, 1973) by Israel’s Arab neighbors Hamas has launched a massive attack by air, land, and sea aimed at provoking a final Arab-Israeli war and destroying the state of Israel once and for all. While such goals may be delusional fantasies of deranged extremists, the deadly import of this massive terrorist strike in dozens of locations with over 5,000 rockets fired in 20 minutes is certainly getting all of Israel’s attention.
Dozens of Arab terrorist cells have entered Israeli towns, killing Jews and taking hostages, and engaging in running gun battles with the IDF while rockets hurt and killed Jews across the State of Israel. In some instances, the Arabs have destroyed border fencing and checkpoints with Gaza and Israel, have occupied Israeli terroritory, and even seized Israeli armored vehicles.
While compared to the 1973 war, this onslaught is not major, as compared to all previous terror attacks, but this is a major attack and but is also more akin to a localized but all-out military engagement in a more conventional sense. In terms of the collective Israeli psyche, this has the same clarifying urgency and is eliciting the same kind of unity of outrage as the 1973 attack.
Of note, the conflict inside Israel over judicidal reform, in which a rogue Israeli Supreme Court was subverted by the left to essentially overturn actions by elected leaders, has been set aside. The same leftist groups urging Israelis not to answer call-ups from the military, so-called Refuseniks, have now urged all Israelis to immediately answer the call but their previous meddling in military affairs to protest in favor of judicial dictatorship may have contributed dramatically to the lack of preparation for this attack.
It’s too soon to speak of repercussions and recriminations, but already some are looking at the drama and division caused by the left, all to support judicidal supremacism to wit unelected leftist judges ruled by judicidal fiat, as aiding Israel’s Arab foes whose end is the extermination of the Jews from the Levant. But for now, the leftist opposition parties have united and declared “there is no opposition now” in light of the widely acknowledged fact Israel is at war.
Israel is celebrating Shemini Atzeret, a special holiday at the end of Sukkoth, and was in a mostly stand-down state of being, much as it was on Yom Kippur 50 years ago. A surprise Arab attack back then almost saw Israel overwhelmed. This attack was certainly a surprise, but at present, it has nothing near the same level of threat, though the genocidal intent remains the same. Few in the West, filled with corpostate media propaganda about “oppressed Palestinians” (Arabs by a different name), understand that the entirety of the Arab leadership in Gaza and in Judea and Samaria, are devoted to the removal of the Jews from the Holy Land.
The current American President’s gambit to force the “Palestinian question” into Saudi-Israeli peace talks may indeed come to naught as none of the Arab powers support the “Palestinian” Jihadist aims any more and all seem fully aware that without Iran and Turkey supporting this “Palestinian” uprising it would have been possible for some form of peace between Arabs and Jews in Israel. Saudi Arabia’s response to this fight has been remarkable: they called on Hamas to stop and for cool heads to prevail, instead of just condemning Israel.
Stay tuned here for updates as and when needed as news is revealed. Our focus will be less on compiling events and more on uncovering things not reported and giving more strategic insights than blow by blow coverage, which many news outlets are doing, though we recommend Israelnationalnews.com and Jpost.com for ongoing live coverage.
Early reports indicate possibly dozens of Israelis, including many soldiers, have been abducted and taken as hostages into Gaza, making this an unprecedented attack that is sure to elicit an extreme and unforgiving response toward all Arabs in all of Israel’s territory, without mercy. This could dramatically harm the average Arab living in these lands, who is deluded into thinking the time for pushing the Jews into the sea is at hand. An unwillingness to even countenance the existence of the State of Israel as a Jewish country that is also welcoming to its non-Jewish citizens: the goal of most Arabs in Israel is to exterminate the Jewish presence from the Holy Land.
The death toll is climbing as of 10:30 AM Eastern, US time, while at least 7 Israeli communities are at least partially occupied or under immediate armed threat by Arab militants. More than 100 Israelis are dead, and 900 Israelis have been injured in the Hamas rocket and terror assault from Beersheba to Jerusalem, Israel’s Health Ministry said.
The map below shows a potential Gaza invasion route in two phases:
British Intelligence is reporting the loss of a Chinese nuclear submarine that was attempting to “trap” a British sub but ended up getting taken down when the oxygen filtration system failed, killing all 55 sailors. The CCP has denied the report’s claims.
Among the dead were the Captain and 21 officers. The submarine was attempting to maneuver to trap a British sub when it experienced a malfunction. The sub was caught in seabed defenses built by the CCP, then began running out of oxygen. The British Intelligence report claimed, “Our understanding is death caused by hypoxia (lack of oxygen) due to a system fault on the submarine. The submarine hit a chain and anchor obstacle used by the Chinese navy to trap US and allied submarines. This resulted in systems failures that took six hours to repair and surface the vessel. The on-board oxygen system poisoned the crew after a catastrophic failure.”
The incident is alleged to have happened a month ago, but until now there was no definitive reporting, until now. The report was leaked despite being rated as highly top secret. An inquiry into the leak is sure to follow.
The Chinese Communist Party has denied the report fearing being exposed as being incompetent as well as having their militant placement of sub traps aimed at catching U.S. and British subs for the purpose of killing the sailors on board. The move by the Chinese to build these sea traps could be seen as an act of war against the nations these traps were targeting.
Amid all the shrill backbiting over continuing to flagellate the dying Ukrainian efforts against Russia, as well as the capering of France trying to stave off the disintegration of its African satrapies, as those states internally realign themselves with Russia and China – by force, when necessary – a specter lurks in the background, the proverbial “elephant in the room”: Communist Chinese insecurity over Taiwan.
In this insecurity, lay the seeds of global economic collapse.
At the end of World War Two, Communist leader Mao Zedong led his “People’s Liberation Army” out of their mountain hideouts, and slid in behind Soviet forces occupying Manchuria, swiftly arming themselves with ex-Japanese military equipment captured from the defeated Imperial Japanese Army. Thus armed, the Communists went on the offensive against the exhausted Nationalist Kuomintang (KMT) forces, which had born the brunt of fighting against the Japanese for the preceding eight years (1937-1945).
Despite several billion dollars in US aid, and the poorly though-out deployment of the III Amphibious Corps and elements of the 7th Fleet, the sheer exhaustion and demoralization of the KMT resulted in a series of worsening defeats on the battlefield, until, in 1949, the surviving KMT military and government units retreated (for the most part) to the island of Formosa (now, Taiwan), and established a government in exile.
That is the situation as it remains, today.
Communist China, throughout its bloody and draconian history from 1950 until today, cannot abide that a recognized province of the country is not under its thumb. This manifests itself in the news of today, as near-continual violations of Taiwan’s declared air and sea boundaries by Communist military forces. The normal response of the United States has been to occasionally deploy aircraft carrier battle groups into the disputed waters as a dare to the Communists to fire on them.
The question for many, however, is – why? After all, the United States famously showed Taiwan the door in 1972, which made the country a diplomatic pariah state…so, why does the United States constantly go “eyeball-to-eyeball” with Communist Beijing over the island? For that matter, why can’t Beijing just let it go?
Two answers: For Beijing – and particularly for Premier Xi Jinping – Taiwan is a gaping sore for the Communists, as the island rapidly prospered under the KMT’s governance, while Communist China wallowed in poverty, famine and induced technological stagnation under the increasingly mentally unstable Mao…and that, in spite of the extreme brutality of the KMT’s actions in securing the island, beginning in the late 1940’s. As prosperous as Communist China has become in the aftermath of the reforms of Deng Xiaoping, the Communist state still lags behind Taiwan by a long distance.
Second, the United States knows a fundamental truth that many around the world (and particularly within the United States), a truth that is the basis of this article:
Any Communist attempt to invade and conquer Taiwan – even if it failed – would collapse the global economy overnight.
The reason for this is brutally simple: microchips.
Circuit board. Public Domain.
Silicon chips, semiconductors, or integrated circuits as the Reader prefers, are what drive modern technology, from the device you are reading this article on, to the CPU in your car, computer chips drive every object of any consequence in your everyday life.
Most of Taiwan’s chips are produced by one company, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC). Unlike other manufacturers like Samsung and Intel (who manufacture chips for internal products), however, TSMC chips are not proprietary to them. Instead, their chips supply manufacturers of computer-driven hardware around the world, companies like Apple, Nvidia and Qualcomm, to name just three. Other nations around the world currently hover at less than half of TSMC’s production capacity; the United States currently holds about 12% of the global manufacturing capacity.
Invasions, as proven by the Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine, are bloody, messy and highly destructive affairs. Any actual Communist Chinese attempt to seize Taiwan would be no different, the severe problems of a combined arms assault on the island equating to a probable Communist failure aside. To say that such an invasion would “disrupt” TSMC’s operations is a laughable understatement, not least because standard military doctrine virtually guarantees direct attacks on the company’s production facilities, to say nothing of worker attrition from “collateral damage”.
Devastation in Bucha, Ukraine. CC0/1.0, Public Domain.
What would such a circumstance mean for the global economy? Simply, virtually all generalized computer and electronic device production and repair or upgrades utilizing semiconductors would grind to a halt, as stocks of chips dried up virtually overnight. This is due to the phenomenon of “just-in-time delivery”, an outgrowth of the wave of globalization that has been the norm since the 1990’s.
The Reader may recall the term “supply chain disruption” that became popular during the recent pandemic. Workers at both manufacturing plants, but also – critically – stevedores and loading crane operators stayed home, either terrified of catching the disease, by legal order, or both. This ricocheted throughout the global supply and transport system, and was greatly aggravated by what many considered to be a minor event, namely the grounding of the container ship Ever Given in March of 2021. The effects of these body blows to the global economy continue as of this writing.
Container Ship ‘Ever Given’ stuck in the Suez Canal, Egypt, March 24th, 2021. Copernicus Sential photo. CCA/2.0 Generic
In regards to a hypothetical – but very possible – Communist invasion of Taiwan, the disruption would be vastly worse, as there is no way for global manufacturers to quickly retool to make up for the loss, even if a ceasefire were quickly closed…And note that this does not address the general disruption of commercial cargo traffic in and out of the Communist nation, in the event of such a war.
But, there is an even greater danger lurking in this very possible scenario: the facts that not only will Taiwan not go quietly, but that they have a plan to take Communist China with them.
Without resorting to nuclear weapons.
The non-Communist Chinese in Taiwan all know full well what a Communist takeover of their country would entail. Given the Communist state’s recent history, to say nothing of its habit of “disappearing” political dissidents and anyone who disagrees with their regime too loudly. Because of this, there lurks a plan that Taipei lets slip every once in a while, to remind Beijing of what the consequences of invasion would be.
The Three Gorges Dam on the Yangtze River, China, 2009. CCA/2.0 Generic
Taiwan’s “doomsday” plan (YouTube link) would be a series of strikes against the Three Gorges Dam. If concentrated, such a strike package would collapse at least a section of the dam, releasing the force of 39.3 km3 to pour downstream in a massive deluge.
Provisionally, this action could kill up to 400 million people…And this is not an idle threat, as the KMT has done it before. To say that this could result in a nuclear response is a given…with everything else that derives from that.
Right now, Communist China is desperate to appear tough and capable. The chances of bluster turning into an actual invasion are very real, however.
This fact is something that should be taken seriously by anyone reading this.
The Freedomist — Keeping Watch, So You Don’t Have To
Ever since Biden’s catastrophic pullout from Afghanistan with no real plan, and no real effort to assure the Taliban didn’t get our military equipment, China has been stepping into the void, offering the Taliban legitimacy and world recognition.
Now, Taliban welcomes China’s new ambassador, calling the decision by China to have an ambassador that recognizes the brutal raping and murdering regime (which is just one of the many things the two fascistic nations have in common with one another) further proof that the rest of the world needs to follow suit, the rest of the world needs to develop normal relations with the theocracy of hate and fear (something they share in common with America’s DNC-CCP).
The Taliban’s chief spokesman, Zabihullah Mujahid, told The Associated Press “It also signals to other countries to come forward and interact with the Islamic Emirate. We should establish good relations as a result of good interactions and, with good relations, we can solve all the problems that are in front of us or coming in the future.”
So far, China is the only country willing to recognize the cult-nation, which makes sense given the cult-like nature of its own nation, led, as it is, by the cult of personality wannabe Xi Jinping, a model of hope for the DNC-CCP who dreams one day of having their own cult of personality dictate to us Americans OUR terms of existence in the same way Xi does to his people, in the same way the Taliban does through its cult of personality “leader,” Muhammad (or at least their version of the child-marrying “prophet.”)
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