Being a predictive analysis in brief of the next 18 months leading up to the 2022 mid-term elections.
The prospects for America remain highly mixed and volatile as a cross-current of interests and powers are acting within the socioeconomic and political space to manufacture their desired outcomes. At the same time legitimate organic movements, historic processes, and natural events are disruptive of any centralized “management” being applied. No group of human beings can control everything and attempts to do so, which hearken back to Nimrod and the Tower of Babel, will never succeed, though the pain and misery they cause will be substantial.
The leading power includes a temporary alliance of corporate shot-callers, influencers who benefit from more libertine social policies, the press who thrive on chaos, and top elected officials all within a framework run by a group of shot-callers who’s main vehicle of power is the dominance of the Democratic Party. It isn’t necessary to specifically name these shot-callers, their comity of action can be seen in the way certain narratives and claims become broadly parroted across all institutions.
It should be noted, the typical wacko (and frankly racist) conspiracy theories about rich white guys, Jews, or aliens, or what have you, are not what we mean by shot-callers. This simply means individuals and/or groups which act in concert who have an outsized influence. These actual shot-callers can and will change from time to time but the general trend in terms of the type of goals and policies they support or nudge seems to have the logic of a consistent and cohesive leadership when, in truth, it isn’t really quite like that.
The spiritual perspective is best desribed in James 3:6
And the tongue is a fire, a world of iniquity: so is the tongue among our members, that it defileth the whole body, and setteth on fire the course of nature; and it is set on fire of hell.
Extrapolating a certain logic from this, we often say of certain groups, whose fruits and stated goals defy God’s standards of righteousness and justice, that they are “set in their course by hell itself”, in other words the genesis of their bad ideas is not so much the human imagination as the imagination of the rulers of hell. If hell can set your own tongue on fire which can set the whole course of nature on fire, then surely the motivation and agenda of certain people can also be set on fire of hell.
From there, however, it’s hard to speak of a “second” power as would-be opponents of the Democratic Party alliance (controlled indirectly by the actual shot-callers) are themselves divided and almost as unfriendly to each other as to the Democratic shot-callers. These include the establishment type moneyed interests who still mostly control the GOP, the uncontrollable and somewhat disjointed Trump crowd, and business/corporate interests outside the Democratic alliance but desirous of their favor or at least not wanting to cross them.
The US is a duopoly and the various competing elements, the truly influential and powerful, really have to work within and through one or both Parties at all times. What we do assess is that the shot-callers behind the Democrats, who also have their tentacles in the Republican Party, seem to have a fair degree of unity and cohesiveness, for now. This can and will change over time. The Republicans seem to be riven by three groups, including the ones more aligned with the shot-callers who control the Democrats, the shot-callers who gain from the Trump base and America First crowd, and the Chamber of Commerce types who are caught between two sides and haven’t really made a stand on their own.
We cannot emphasize enough that there is no formal or cohesive organization or structure for these shot-callers. We identify the comity of action and track who and what groups of interests benefit from certain events to broadly define this as a shot-caller group.
Economic factors include rising inflation, supply chain disruptions, government debt spending, Chinese aggressiveness on the world economic stage, and the potential for new Covid-19 variants. All the things we listed above will act on the economy, from the machinations of the shot-caller groups, led by the groups controlling the Democrats right now, to organic movements and natural events as well as historic processes.
Geopolitical factors include the growing closeness of Israel and its neighbors, Russia courting Israel, the US vacating the Middle and Far East, Chinese aggression against her neighbors, and Turkish aggression.
As for the political landscape in the US, the real problem is fourfold:
1. The press are as heavily focused on propaganda and whitewashing bad news about Democrats and good news about Republicans that the things that may lead to a big loss for Democrats in the midterm may not even raise to public consciousness
2. The data on actual public sentiment is unreliable and is driven more and more by how it is framed, audience sampling, amd the blatant political bias of the pollsters
3. It remains to be seen if a majority of actual voters will ever care about the things they once did, like the economy or perceptions of government corruption
4. Without any hints of illegality, it remains true the the election process itself has now becomes politicized and the rules and methods are all being bent to suppress one side and boost the votes of the other
At present, the shot-callers who control the Democrats and some Republicans are in the apparent assent, but they are neither without real opposition by other less powerful but not weak opponents nor immune to organic movements, historical processes, or natural events.
In a normal scenario, minus massive and sophisticated media manipulation and untruthful reporting as well as the massive election legerdemain now being engaged by both sides, it would be potentially hazardous for Democrats who lost ground in the states and barely held on to the House. The election process in Georgia in particular leaves many feeling like some sort of unfair, even if “legal” process gave the Democrats an undeserved victory in taking the Senate by a 50/50 tie only broken by the Vice President.
This may sound like a Republican versus Democrat thing, but the DUOPOLY is the arena in which the battles between the ruling elements in our civilization can be most clearly seen. In 30 years we may see a Republican Party used by a different set of shot-callers that is as much a hazard to liberty and prosperity, for different reasons.
All in all, the “most popular President ever”, Joe Biden, won because the press contributed BILLIONS of dollars in campaign support and propaganda which they called news. It doesn’t takr being a conspiracy theorist or accusations of outright fraud to posit the idea that the election process was hijacked by Democrats and other election officials who went outside the strict letter of the law to make ballot harvesting and the overall process favor Democrats only. On the other hand, it may be wishful thinking on the part of Republicans to dismiss the idea that the voters themselves may have simply wanted anything but the manufactured chaos orchestrated by the US Intelligence Community to run Trump down.
It wasn’t a clean win on merit when all the supposed referees, including the Press and the courts, were in the tank for Biden. But it may have been perfectly legal. After all, “democracy” is a system where whoever controls information, communication, education, and culture creation can manufacture or manipulate popular consent for almost anything, even to the harm of those who voted for it.
We now live in a world where all news is filtered solely from the perspective of how it helps or hurts Democrats so any real crisis, which will blow up regardless of whether it gets coverage, will take everyone by suprise who isn’t paying attention off the platforms and outside the press. In short, the stronger group of shot-callers has decided to push for a single-party system, like in California or New York, where the other party is barley token resistance. The institutions and structures they collectively control are all in for this agenda, to transform the US from a duopoly into a one-party state.
The public is, however, getting sick of the crises after crises and the alarmism being used to manipulate them. This is bringing real pressure on the ruling class groups to normalize life again, somehow. We predict that before next May things will be made to stabilize, the worse actors on the authoritarian left will be shushed and the worse excesses will be curbed. The need to preserve a Democrat win in 2022 is vital and normalizing the country must take place first. Again, this is based on our assessment that a general consensus among the strongest group of shot-callers is that a one-party state is best for them.
In the meantime, like anyone putting off an unpleasant task, the Democrats won’t seriously consider reinging in their riotous and intolerant mobs, both on the streets and kmljne, until around next April or May. As for the economy, the shot-callers will enage in profit taking and exploitation, likely until next March, when it will be necessary to tamp down the chaos.
Efforts to capture the GOP from Trump and his people are the only guarantee that even a GOP win in 2022 will benefit the ruling class, their goal always being to control both parties. Look for massive new scandals, real or imagined, and lawfare against anyone who remains useful to Trump. The plan, whether it succeeds or not, is to defame and ruin Trump and marginalize his more ardent supporters. As the potential benefits of this plan include either capturing or destroying the GOP, and the downside is minimal since no real accountability and pushback is possible, this is almost a certainty.
Instability, more lawfare against Trump and his ardent supporters, market manipulation, especially in cryptocurrency and real estate, coupled with ongoing egregious and violent acts by the Democratic Party’s paramilitary irregulars will plague the next 6-9 months but, by next May, normalcy will be restored, at least in appearance.
Will the Republicans win back the House or the Senate in 2022?
The short answer is, probably not, but not because the voters are happy with the Democrats. The courts, the media, and election process legerdemain mean that unless the Republicans in key areas hold a 10 to 15 point lead in real numbers, they cannot overcome these headwinds.
But will the shot-callers who seem to be on the ascent now win the day and transom America into California, where only one party rules? This is best left for another analysis, but the short answer is that there are opposing shot-callers and dynamic historic processes that will make this highly unlikely. The opposition to the current dominant group will ultimately find its footing and marshal its defenses. While weaker, the opposition isn’t helpless and their chances of finding ways to weaken the dominant group are even.
